ICC: no impact in Côte d’Ivoire

11 March 2011 by Bram Posthumus

There may be a future inquiry by the International Criminal Court into human rights crimes during Côte d’Ivoire’s post-electoral crisis. But that has no impact on the current situation in the country. 

Laurent Gbagbo, the loser of last year’s presidential election and his entourage were ready: in the event of a defeat at the polls by their adversary Allasane Dramane Ouattara, they would have everything it takes for a war of attrition on all fronts, political, economic and military.

The extent of their preparations is unknown and those who have been following events in Côte d’Ivoire are increasingly reluctant to make predictions. Gilles Yabi, the International Crisis Group’s West Africa Project Director, will not be drawn on speculation about how long the Gbagbo camp can hold out. ‘They have accumulated a large war chest, they have access to foreign funds – probably Angolan. And then they tax local and foreign companies and cocoa farmers (Côte d’Ivoire produces 40% of the world’s cocoa). Salaries are paid as normal. So, no-one knows if and when Gbagbo’s camp runs out of money.’

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